제1장 서론 ····························································································· 1
1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 ·················································································· 1
1) 연구 배경 ······························································································· 1
2) 연구 목적 ······························································································· 2
2. 연구범위 및 방법 ······················································································· 3
1) 연구 범위 ······························································································· 3
2) 연구 방법 ······························································································· 3
3) 선행 연구와 차별성 ·············································································· 4
3. 연구 내용 및 기대효과 ·············································································· 7
1) 연구 내용 ····························································································· 7
2) 기대 효과 ····························································································· 7
제2장 부산 기계부품산업의 현황 및 무역변화 ······························ 9
1. 기계산업의 분류 ························································································· 9
2. 부산 기계부품산업의 위상과 경쟁력 ····················································· 11
1) 지역경제에서 기계부품산업의 위상 ················································· 11
2) 타 지자체와 경쟁력 비교 ································································ 15
3. 부산 기계부품산업의 사업체 및 종사자 수 ·········································· 16
1) 전국 제조업 대비 부산의 비중 ························································· 16
2) 부산 기계산업(5대)의 전국 대비 비교 ············································· 20
4. 코로나19 이후 부산 기계부품산업의 무역변화 ···································· 22
1) 전체적인 수출·수입 감소 ··································································· 22
2) 코로나19 이후 영향과 무관한 기계부품 산업의 품목 ·················· 25
3) 부산 기계류 수출액 및 증감률 ························································· 28
4) 부산 기계류 수입액 및 증감률 ························································· 34
제3장 코로나19 이후 기계부품산업의 변화 ·································· 39
1. 코로나19 전후 기계부품산업의 전략 변화 ··········································· 39
1) 코로나19 이전 발전 전략 ·································································· 39
2) 코로나19 이후 산업현장의 변화 ······················································ 41
3) 코로나19 이후 산업다각화의 부상 ··················································· 44
2. 기계부품산업의 산업다각화 분야 ··························································· 48
1) 지능형 기계부품 분야 ········································································ 48
2) 지진 방재 분야 ··················································································· 51
3) 원전 해체 분야 ··················································································· 57
제4장 부산 기계부품산업 설문조사 ··············································· 69
1. 조사 개요 ·································································································· 69
1) 조사 목적 ····························································································· 69
2) 조사 설계 ··························································································· 70
2. 조사 결과 ································································································ 71
1) 부산 기계부품산업 매출 및 고용 변화 ··········································· 71
2) 기업의 대응현황 ················································································· 74
3) 기계부품산업의 변화 ·········································································· 80
4) 기계부품산업의 대응방안 ·································································· 84
3. 설문조사 시사점 ····················································································· 86
1) 규모가 영세할수록 코로나19 영향이 큼 ······································· 86
2) 코로나19 영향 장기화 예상 속에 대응 역량 부족 ······················ 86
3) 기업의 비용관리 및 직원 고용안정을 강화 ································ 87
4) 현금성 지원 정책을 우선적으로 선호 ··········································· 87
5) 탈세계화 추세에 부정적 입장 ························································· 88
제5장 부산 기계부품산업의 대응전략 ············································ 89
1. 코로나19 대응 기본방향과 SWOT분석 ················································· 89
1) 코로나19 대응 기본방향 설정 ·························································· 89
2) 부산 기계부품산업의 SWOT분석 ····················································· 93
2. 세부 대응방안 및 정책과제 ···································································· 96
1) 부산시의 정책과제 ·············································································· 96
2) 부산기업의 대응 ············································································· 103
Abstract ································································································ 114
참고문헌 ····························································································· 117
부록 ···································································································· 120
1. 부산 기계부품산업현황(5대 기계산업 공간직접도 분석) ·················· 120
2. 부산 기계부품산업현황(5대 기계산업 특화도(LQ) 분석) ·················· 123
3. 지역별 중소기업의 비중 ········································································ 125
4. 설문조사의 설문지 ················································································· 126
5. 설문조사 결과 ························································································· 130
<표 Ⅰ-1> 기계부품산업 관련 선행연구 ·························································· 6
<표 Ⅱ-1> 기계산업의 분류(한국표준산업분류KSIC 10차 개정) ··············· 10
<표 Ⅱ-2> 부산시 산업별 현황(사업체수, 종사자수, 매출액) ···················· 12
<표 Ⅱ-3> 부산시 제조업에서 기계산업의 위치 ·········································· 13
<표 Ⅱ-4> 부산지역 수출입 동향 ··································································· 23
<표 Ⅱ-5> 부산지역 주요 품목별 수출 동향 ················································ 23
<표 Ⅱ-6> 코로나19 이후 기계류 수출 유지품목(부산) ···························· 25
<표 Ⅱ-7> 코로나19 이후 기계류 수출 반등 품목(부산) ···························· 27
<표 Ⅱ-8> 부산 기계류(기초산업기계, 산업기계) 월별 수출액 및 증감률(MTI
3단위 기준) ····················································································· 28
<표 Ⅱ-9> 부산 기초산업기계류 월별 수출액 및 증감률(MTI 4단위 기준)
········································································································ 30
<표 Ⅱ-10> 부산 산업기계류 월별 수출액 및 증감률(MTI 4단위 기준) ·· 32
<표 Ⅱ-11> 부산 기계류(기초산업기계, 산업기계) 월별 수입액 및 증감률
(MTI 3단위 기준) ······································································· 34
<표 Ⅱ-12> 부산 기초산업기계류 월별 수입액 및 증감률(MTI 4단위 기준)
······································································································ 36
<표 Ⅱ-13> 부산 산업기계류 월별 수입액 및 증감률(MTI 4단위 기준) ·· 38
<표 Ⅲ-1> 포스트 코로나 5대 변화 및 8대 과제 ······································ 42
<표 Ⅲ-2> 지능형 생산자동화 시스템 및 지능제어 융합모듈 산업구조 ·· 49
<표 Ⅲ-3> 원자력 발전소 운영 및 해체 관련 법령 ···································· 57
<표 Ⅲ-4> 원전해체 기본절차 및 단계별 주요 기술 ··································· 58
<표 Ⅲ-5> 원전해체 기반기술(21개 미확보기술) ········································· 60
<표 Ⅲ-6> 원전해체산업의 잠재적 관련산업 범위 ······································ 62
<표 Ⅲ-7> 원전해체 시장 규모 추정 ····························································· 65
<표 Ⅲ-8> 원전해체 단계별 추정 비용 및 특징 ·········································· 67
<표 Ⅳ-1> 전년 동기 대비 매출액 수준 특성별 분석 ································· 72
<표 Ⅳ-2> 고용규모 변화 특성별 분석 ························································· 73
<표 Ⅳ-3> 코로나19 확산에 따른 구체적 대응방안 1순위 특성별 분석 ·· 77
<표 Ⅳ-4> 장기적 관점으로 대응해야 하는 방향 특성별 분석 ·················· 82
<표 Ⅴ-1> 부산 기계부품산업의 SWOT분석 ················································ 95
<표 Ⅴ-2> 부산 원전해체 관련 중소기업 현황 ············································ 99
<표 Ⅴ-3> 원전해체산업 핵심분야 및 내용 ················································ 104
<표 Ⅴ-4> 원전해체산업 진출방안 ······························································· 105
<표 Ⅴ-5> 지능형 기계부품산업 SWOT분석 ············································ 108
<표 Ⅴ-6> 부산의 원전해체산업 진출을 위한 SWOT 분석 ····················· 109
<표 Ⅴ-7> 부산 지역내 원전 관련 품질인증 획득 기업 ··························· 110
<표 Ⅴ-8> 기계부품산업 내진화를 통한 고부가가치화 SWOT분석 ······ 113
<그림 Ⅰ-1> 연구 흐름도 ·················································································· 4
<그림 Ⅱ-1> 부산시 산업별 사업체수 및 종사자수 ···································· 13
<그림 Ⅱ-2> 부산시 제조업에서 기계산업의 위치(사업체수 및 종사자수) ·· 15
<그림 Ⅱ-3> 전국-부산 제조업 대비 비중(사업체수 기준) ························ 17
<그림 Ⅱ-4> 전국-부산 제조업 대비 비중(종사자수 기준) ························ 19
<그림 Ⅱ-5> 전국-부산 제조업 대비 비중(부가가치 기준) ························ 20
<그림 Ⅱ-6> 부산제조업과 5대 기계산업의 전국 비중 비교(사업체수 기준) ···· 20
<그림 Ⅱ-7> 부산제조업과 5대 기계산업의 전국 비중 비교(종사자수 기준) ···· 21
<그림 Ⅱ-8> 부산제조업과 5대 기계산업의 전국 비중 비교(부가가치 기준) ···· 22
<그림 Ⅲ-1> 코로나19 전후 기계산업의 패러다임 전환 ···························· 41
<그림 Ⅲ-2> 부산·울산 에너지산업융복합단지 조성계획 ···························· 48
<그림 Ⅲ-3> 지진방재산업의 전후방산업 연계도 ········································ 52
<그림 Ⅲ-4> 지진방재산업 관련 기계부품 ···················································· 53
<그림 Ⅲ-5> 국내지진발생추이 ····································································· 54
<그림 Ⅲ-6> 원전해체 핵심 기반기술 개발계획(확보기술 17개, 미확보기술
21개) ··························································································· 59
<그림 Ⅲ-7> 원전해체산업분류와 표준산업분류 연관구조도 ···················· 61
<그림 Ⅲ-8> 원전해체산업과 기계부품산업의 연관관계 ····························· 63
<그림 Ⅲ-9> 고리원전 1호기 주요 현황 ······················································· 64
<그림 Ⅲ-10> 2029년까지 폐로예정인 국내 원전 현황 ····························· 65
<그림 Ⅲ-11> 미국 코네티컷 양키 원전해체 전후 모습 ····························· 66
<그림 Ⅳ-1> 코로나19 확산으로 인한 피해 ················································· 74
<그림 Ⅳ-2> 코로나19 지속 예상기간 비교 ················································· 75
<그림 Ⅳ-3> 코로나19에 대한 대응 수준 ····················································· 76
<그림 Ⅳ-4> 코로나19에 대응하지 못하는 이유 ·········································· 76
<그림 Ⅳ-5> 코로나19로 인한 변화 및 관심대상 ········································ 79
<그림 Ⅳ-6> 코로나19 기업지원책에 대한 평가 ·········································· 80
<그림 Ⅳ-7> 탈세계화 추세에 대한 의견 ····················································· 80
<그림 Ⅳ-8> 국내 유턴에 적합한 업종인 이유 ·········································· 81
<그림 Ⅳ-9> 산업다각화로 제시되는 분야에 대한 사업 타당성 평가 ······ 83
<그림 Ⅳ-10> 코로나19 대응 기업들이 요구하는 지원 정책 ····················· 84
<그림 Ⅳ-11> 국내 복귀를 고려하지 않는 이유 ·········································· 85
<그림 Ⅴ-1> 전통적 공급사슬에서 디지털 공급사슬로 전환 ····················· 92
<그림 Ⅴ-2> 부산대학교 지진방재연구센터 운영현황 ······························· 100
<그림 Ⅴ-3> 부산 기계부품산업의 원전해체분야 진출 예상 ··················· 106
<그림 Ⅴ-4> 부산-울산 중점 원전해체 분야 ············································· 111
<그림 Ⅴ-5> 발전용원자로 핵심설비 절단작업 절차 ································ 112