제1장 서론····························································································· 1
1. 연구의 필요성 및 목적 ·············································································· 1
2. 연구범위 및 방법 ······················································································· 3
1) 연구범위 ································································································· 3
2) 연구방법 ································································································· 5
3) 연구의 구성 ··························································································· 6
제2장 부산시 대기 중 미세먼지 농도 특성···································· 8
1. 개요 ·············································································································· 8
2. 부산시 미세먼지 시·공간적 분포 특성 ···················································· 9
1) 미세먼지 농도의 시간적 변화 특성 ··················································· 9
2) 미세먼지 농도의 고농도 발생 현황 ················································· 13
3) 미세먼지 농도의 공간적 분포 특성 ················································· 15
3. 요약 및 과제 ····························································································· 17
제3장 항만시설, 화물차량, 선박의 미세먼지 배출량 특성········· 18
1. 개요 ············································································································ 18
2. 항만시설 미세먼지 직·간접 배출량 산정 ·············································· 20
1) 배출량 산정 방법 ··············································································· 20
2) 배출량 산정 결과 ··············································································· 23
3. 화물차량 운행에 따른 미세먼지 직·간접 배출량 산정 ························ 25
1) 배출량 산정 방법 ··············································································· 25
2) 배출량 산정 결과 ··············································································· 27
4. 선박배출 미세먼지 직·간접 배출량 산정 ·············································· 29
1) 배출량 산정 방법 ··············································································· 29
5. 요약 및 과제 ····························································································· 33
제4장 선박과 항만시설 기인 미세먼지 오염원 기여도 특성····· 34
1. 개요 ············································································································ 34
2. 오염원 기여도 평가 방법 ········································································ 35
1) 미세먼지 화학성분 분석 ···································································· 35
2) 오염원 기여도 분석 ············································································ 35
3. 미세먼지 화학성분 분석 결과 ································································ 37
4. 미세먼지 오염원 기여도 분석 결과 ······················································· 41
1) PMF 수용모델링 결과 ······································································· 41
2) 공기역궤적 분석 결과 ········································································ 46
5. 요약 및 과제 ····························································································· 48
제5장 부산시 미세먼지 건강영향 평가·········································· 49
1. 개요 ············································································································ 49
2. 미세먼지의 건강위해성 평가 방법 ························································· 49
1) 분석자료 ······························································································· 49
2) 분석방법 ······························································································· 50
3. 미세먼지의 건강위해성 평가 결과 ······················································· 51
1) 미세먼지 농도 증감에 따른 사망자와의 상관성 분석 결과 ········· 51
2) 미세먼지 화학성분 농도 증감에 따른 사망자와의 상관성 분석 결과······· 52
3) 미세먼지 오염원 기여도 증감에 따른 사망자와의 상관성 분석 결과······· 56
4. 요약 및 과제 ····························································································· 58
제6장 미세먼지 부산시민 인식도 조사·········································· 60
1. 개요 ············································································································ 60
2. 시민 인식조사 ··························································································· 60
3. 환경 및 미세먼지 문제에 대한 인식도 결과 ········································ 61
4. 미세먼지 관리대책 만족도 및 개선방안 ··············································· 65
5. 소통 및 시민 참여 ··················································································· 70
제7장 결론 및 정책제언··································································· 73
1. 결론 ············································································································ 73
1) 자료 조사와 분석의 결과 ·································································· 73
2) 자료 조사와 분석의 한계점 ······························································ 77
2. 부산시 항만 미세먼지 관리에 대한 정책제언 ······································ 79
1) 항만 미세먼지 특성 규명을 위한 시스템 구축 ······························ 79
2) 항만 미세먼지 관리 네트워크 구축 및 운영 ·································· 83
3) 배출원 관리 및 감독 기준 강화 ······················································· 86
4) 중장기 발전방향 ················································································· 92
Abstract································································································ 95
참고문헌······························································································ 98
부록···································································································· 102
<표 Ⅲ-1> 하역장비 출력별 오염물질 배출계수 정보 ································· 22
<표 Ⅲ-2> 부산시 항만지역 내 하역 및 운송장비 대기오염물질 배출량
(2019년 기준) ················································································ 23
<표 Ⅲ-3> 부산시 각 항만구역별 화물차량 연간 총 배출량 ····················· 28
<표 Ⅲ-4> 선박 유종에 따른 대기오염물질 배출계수 ································· 31
<표 Ⅲ-5> 선박의 엔진 출력별 대기오염물질 배출계수 ····························· 31
<표 Ⅲ-6> 부산해역 운항 선박의 배출량 산정 결과 ··································· 32
<표 Ⅶ-1> 기초자료 분석에 따른 결과 및 과제, 이에 따른 대응방안 ····· 74
<표 Ⅶ-2> 고농도 조건에 따른 항만시설 운영 및 차량운행 제한 방안 ·· 92
<그림 Ⅰ-1> 국외 항만 도시 미세먼지 관리 정책 사례 요약 ······················ 2
<그림 Ⅰ-2> 연구의 흐름 및 개요 ··································································· 4
<그림 Ⅰ-3> 연구의 구성 ·················································································· 7
<그림 Ⅱ-1> 부산시 구군경계구분 및 대기오염측정망 위치 ························ 8
<그림 Ⅱ-2> 우리나라 7대 특·광역시 PM2.5 연평균 농도 비교 ·················· 9
<그림 Ⅱ-3> 부산시 PM2.5와 PM10의 시간별, 일별, 월별 농도 분포 ······· 11
<그림 Ⅱ-4> 부산시 대기오염물질과 기상자료의 상관관계 및 인자 간 군집분석 결과·· 12
<그림 Ⅱ-5> 우리나라 7대 특·광역시 PM2.5 연도별 고농도 발생일수 현황 ···· 14
<그림 Ⅱ-6> 우리나라 7대 특·광역시 PM2.5 월별 고농도 발생일수 현황 ···· 15
<그림 Ⅱ-7> 부산시 PM2.5의 대기오염 측정소간의 군집분석 결과 ·········· 16
<그림 Ⅲ-1> 부산시 대기 중 미세먼지 생성·반응·이동의 메커니즘 ········· 19
<그림 Ⅲ-2> 항만지역 하역장비의 대기오염물질 배출량 산정 흐름도 ···· 20
<그림 Ⅲ-3> 부산항 하역장비의 연식별 현황 ·············································· 21
<그림 Ⅲ-4> 부산시 항만시설 하역장비 연식별 대기오염물질 배출량 비교 ··· 24
<그림 Ⅲ-5> 항만시설과 연계된 화물자동차 배출량 산정 지역 ················ 25
<그림 Ⅲ-6> 항만시설과 연계된 화물차량 배출량 산정의 흐름도 ············ 26
<그림 Ⅲ-7> 부산시 항만구역 차종별 연간 교통량 비교 ··························· 28
<그림 Ⅲ-8> 항만구역 화물차 연식별 대기오염물질 배출량 비교 ············ 29
<그림 Ⅲ-9> 선박의 대기오염물질 배출량 산정의 흐름도 ························· 30
<그림 Ⅳ-1> 미세먼지 화학성분 측정 장소 ·················································· 36
<그림 Ⅳ-2> 부산시 4개 지역의 미세먼지 주요 화학성분 결과 ··············· 38
<그림 Ⅳ-3> 부산시 지역별 PM2.5 고농도와 저농도 발생 시의
PM2.5 화학성분 성분비 변화 ···················································· 39
<그림 Ⅳ-4> 부산시 지역별 PM2.5의 중금속 성분의 평균 농도 비교 ······ 40
<그림 Ⅳ-5> 부산시 지역별 PM2.5 고농도와 저농도 발생 시의
PM2.5 중금속 구성비 변화 ······················································ 41
<그림 Ⅳ-6> 부산시 지역별 PM2.5 오염원 평균 기여율 비교 ···················· 44
<그림 Ⅳ-7> 부산시 PM2.5 오염원 기여도의 월별 분포 ····························· 45
<그림 Ⅳ-8> 고농도와 저동도 발생 시 지역별 PM2.5 오염원 기여도 분포 특성··· 46
<그림 Ⅳ-9> PSCF 모델을 이용한 오염원 위치 추적(local scale) ········· 47
<그림 Ⅳ-10> PSCF 모델을 이용한 오염원 위치 추적(regional scale) ···· 48
<그림 Ⅴ-1> 7대 특·광역시 PM2.5 농도 10 μgm-3 증가에 따른
초과사망 발생 위험률 비교 ····················································· 52
<그림 Ⅴ-2> 부산시 지역별 PM2.5 화학성분 농도 변화에 따른
초과사망(질병으로 인한 총사망) 발생 위험률 비교 ············· 53
<그림 Ⅴ-3> 부산시 지역별 PM2.5 화학성분 농도 변화에 따른
초과사망(심혈관계질환) 발생 위험률 비교 ···························· 54
<그림 Ⅴ-4> 부산시 지역별 PM2.5 화학성분 농도 변화에 따른
초과사망(호흡기계질환) 발생 위험률 비교 ···························· 55
<그림 Ⅴ-5> 부산시 지역별 PM2.5 오염원 기여도 변화에 따른
초과사망(질병으로 인한 총사망) 발생 위험률 비교 ············· 56
<그림 Ⅴ-6> 부산시 지역별 PM2.5 오염원 기여도 변화에 따른
초과사망(심혈관계질환) 발생 위험률 비교 ···························· 57
<그림 Ⅴ-7> 부산시 지역별 PM2.5 오염원 기여도 변화에 따른
초과사망(호흡기계질환) 발생 위험률 비교 ···························· 58
<그림 Ⅵ-1> 부산시가 앞으로 많은 관심을 가지고 주력해야 할 환경문제 ···· 62
<그림 Ⅵ-2> 지역 구분별 미세먼지 오염에 대한 심각성 인식 ·················· 63
<그림 Ⅵ-3> 미세먼지 오염수준 개선효과 동의 여부 ································· 63
<그림 Ⅵ-4> 부산시 미세먼지 문제에 가장 큰 영향을 미친 요인 ············ 64
<그림 Ⅵ-5> 미세먼지 저감 부산시 정책/프로그램별 필요성 공감도
/중요도/노력 필요도 ································································ 66
<그림 Ⅵ-6> 미세먼지 민감계층 보호 정책별 필요성 공감도/중요도
/노력 필요도 ·············································································· 67
<그림 Ⅵ-7> 부산시 항만/선박 미세먼지 관리 정책 중요도 ····················· 68
<그림 Ⅵ-8> 부산시 항만/선박 미세먼지 관리 정책 공감도 ····················· 69
<그림 Ⅵ-9> 부산시 미세먼지 저감 정책 인지도 ········································ 70
<그림 Ⅵ-10> 부산시 미세먼지 저감 시민실천운동 참여 의향 ················· 72
<그림 Ⅶ-1> IoT를 활용한 대기오염물질 농도 스마트 관리 사례
(폴란드 Gdansk항) ··································································· 80
<그림 Ⅶ-2> 국내 항만 배출원 분류체계 ····················································· 82
<그림 Ⅶ-3> 2014년 공동 합의된 도시별 대기오염 감축목표 사례 ········· 84
<그림 Ⅶ-4> 항만도시 대기질 수준 관리의 정부 및 지자체간 구조적 문제 ···· 85
<그림 Ⅶ-5> 부산지역 선박저속운항 대상 해역 ·········································· 87
<그림 Ⅶ-6> 육상전원공급설비 개념도 ························································· 89
<그림 Ⅶ-7> 화력발전 주변지역 주민 지원 사업 사례 ······························· 93