제1장 서 론 ··············································································· 1
1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 ····························································· 1
2. 연구내용 및 방법 ··································································· 2
1) 주요 연구내용 ··································································· 2
2) 연구방법 ············································································· 3
제2장 4차 산업혁명이 일자리에 미치는 영향 및 사례 ···· 5
1. 4차 산업혁명과 일자리 변화 ················································ 5
1) 4차 산업혁명의 정의 ························································ 5
2) 4차 산업혁명이 일자리에 미치는 영향 ························· 6
2. 일자리 감소 및 위협 사례 ···················································· 7
1) 제조업 : 로봇으로 인력 대체 ········································· 7
2) 서비스업 : 인공지능‧드론‧무인자동차 활용 ················ 10
3) 시사점 ·············································································· 13
3. 일자리 증가 사례 ································································· 14
1) 제조업 : 스마트팩토리 구축으로 생산성 향상 ··········· 14
2) 서비스업 : 인공지능과 전문 인력의 협력 확대 ········· 17
3) 시사점 ·············································································· 18
4. 신직업 등장과 일자리 증가 ················································ 19
1) 신직업과 일자리 증가 ···················································· 19
2) 사라질 가능성이 높은 직종 ·········································· 22
제3장 부산지역 일자리에 미치는 영향 분석 ···················· 27
1. 기술발달에 따른 일자리 변화 분석 ··································· 27
1) 다보스포럼의 일자리 변화 추정 ··································· 27
2) 부산지역 일자리에 미치는 영향 분석 방법 ················ 29
2. 부산 인공지능 관련 산업의 직종별 취업자 변화 ············ 33
1) 인공지능 관련 산업 정의 ·············································· 33
2) 인공지능 관련 직종 정의 ·············································· 34
3) 인공지능 관련 산업 취업자 수 ····································· 36
4) 인공지능 관련 산업의 직종별 취업자 수 ···················· 40
3. 부산 기타 산업의 직종별 취업자 변화 ····························· 48
1) 기타 산업 직종별 취업자 수 ········································ 48
2) 기타 산업의 인지능 관련 직종 취업자 수 ·················· 52
제4장 4차 산업혁명과 일자리 변화에 관한 인식조사 ···· 55
1. 조사 개요 ·············································································· 55
1) 조사 목적 ········································································· 55
2) 조사 대상 및 방법 ························································· 55
3) 응답자 일반현황 ····························································· 56
2. 4차 산업혁명에 관한 인식 및 대비 ·································· 58
1) 4차 산업혁명에 관한 인식 ············································ 58
2) 4차 산업혁명에 대한 대비 정도 ··································· 60
3) 4차 산업혁명에 대한 준비 미흡 이유 ························· 61
4) 졸업 후 취업 희망 업종 ················································ 63
5) 졸업 후 취업 희망 직종 ················································ 64
6) 10년내 새로운 업종‧직종의 일자리 탐색 가능성 ······· 65
7) 일자리 변화 대비 위해 필요한 것 ······························· 68
3. 신직업에 대한 선호도 ························································· 70
1) 신직업에 대해 알고 있는 정도 ····································· 70
2) 신직업 대한 관심 정도 ·················································· 71
3) 신직업 교육 및 직업훈련 참여 의사 ··························· 73
4. 정책 수요 ·············································································· 74
1) 대학 교육내용의 취‧창업 도움 여부 ···························· 74
2) 취‧창업에 도움 안 되는 이유 ······································· 76
3) 정규교육과정 편성에 관한 의견 ··································· 76
4) 직업훈련‧취업알선 제도 개선에 관한 의견 ················· 77
제5장 결론 및 정책적 시사점 ············································· 79
1. 결론 ························································································ 79
1) 4차 산업혁명이 일자리에 미치는 영향 ······················· 79
2) 부산 일자리에 미치는 영향 분석 방법 ······················· 81
3) 부산 일자리에 미치는 영향 분석 결과 ······················· 84
2. 정책적 시사점 ······································································· 90
1) 전문 인력 수요 확대 및 일자리 구조 변화 ················ 90
2) 신직업 맞춤형 인력 양성, 교육시스템 구축 시급 ····· 91
3) 부산지역 특성 반영한 인력 양성 계획 수립 필요 ····· 96
4) 일자리 변화 인식제고, 신직업 취업지원 확대 필요 ···· 99
Abstract ··················································································· 101
참고문헌 ················································································ 103
부록 ························································································· 110
<표 Ⅱ-1> 유엔미래보고서 선정 미래 신직업(54개) ······················· 20
<표 Ⅱ-2> 국내 미래 신직업 발굴‧육성 계획 ································· 21
<표 Ⅱ-3> 신직업 종류 (종합) ························································ 22
<표 Ⅱ-4> BBC가 예측한 사라질 위험성이 높은 직업 ··················· 24
<표 Ⅱ-5> AI로봇과 소멸 가능 직업 ·············································· 25
<표 Ⅱ-6> 사라질 위험성이 낮은 직업 ··········································· 26
<표 Ⅲ-1> 인공지능 관련 산업 분류 ·············································· 34
<표 Ⅲ-2> 인공지능 관련 직종 분류 ·············································· 35
<표 Ⅲ-3> 부산 인공지능 관련 산업 취업자 수 ··························· 36
<표 Ⅲ-4> 전국 인공지능 관련 산업 취업자 수 ····························· 38
<표 Ⅲ-5> 지역별 인공지능 관련 산업 취업자 수 ························· 39
<표 Ⅲ-6> 부산 인공지능 관련 산업의 직종별 취업자 수 ············· 41
<표 Ⅲ-7> 전국 인공지능 관련 산업의 직종별 취업자 수 ············· 43
<표 Ⅲ-8> 부산 인공지능 관련 산업의 인공지능 관련 직종 취업자 수
······················································································ 45
<표 Ⅲ-9> 전국 인공지능 관련 산업의 인공지능 관련 직종 취업자 수
······················································································ 46
<표 Ⅲ-10> 부산 인공지능 관련 산업의 기타 직종 취업자 수 ······ 47
<표 Ⅲ-11> 부산 기타 산업의 직종별 취업자 수 ··························· 48
<표 Ⅲ-12> 전국 기타 산업의 직종별 취업자 수 ··························· 50
<표 Ⅲ-13> 부산 기타 산업의 인공지능 관련 직종 취업자 수 ······ 53
<표 Ⅲ-14> 전국 기타 산업의 인공지능 관련 직종 취업자 수 ······ 53
<표 Ⅳ-1> 응답자 학교별 분포 ····················································· 56
<표 Ⅳ-2> 응답자 계열별 분포 ······················································· 57
<표 Ⅳ-3> 성별 분포 ······································································ 57
<표 Ⅳ-4> 4차 산업혁명의 경제‧사회 영향에 대한 인식 ················ 59
<표 Ⅳ-5> 4차 산업혁명에 따른 취업준비 정도 ····························· 61
<표 Ⅳ-6> 4차 산업혁명에 대한 준비 미흡 이유 ··························· 63
<표 Ⅳ-7> 졸업 후 취업을 희망하는 업종 ······································ 64
<표 Ⅳ-8> 졸업 후 취업을 희망하는 직종 ······································ 65
<표 Ⅳ-9> 10년 이내에 새로운 업종‧직종의 일자리 탐색 가능성 · 67
<표 Ⅳ-10> 일자리 변화에 대비 위해 필요한 것 ··························· 69
<표 Ⅳ-11> 신직업에 대해 알고 있는 정도 ···································· 71
<표 Ⅳ-12> 신직업에 대한 관심 정도 ············································ 72
<표 Ⅳ-13> 신직업 교육 및 직업훈련 참여 의사 ··························· 74
<표 Ⅳ-14> 대학 교육내용의 취‧창업 도움 여부 ···························· 75
<표 Ⅴ-1> 부산 인공지능 관련 직종의 취업자 수 증가 ················· 88
<표 Ⅴ-2> 부산 기타 직종의 취업자 수 증가 ································ 89
<표 Ⅴ-3> 부산시 4차 산업혁명 관련 주요사업 ··························· 95
<표 Ⅴ-4> 중앙정부의 4차 산업혁명 선도인력 양성 훈련 ············· 96
<그림 Ⅱ-1> 4차 산업혁명 정의 및 특성 ········································· 6
<그림 Ⅱ-2> 도호약품 물류센터 피킹로봇 ········································ 8
<그림 Ⅱ-3> 폭스콘의 로봇팔 ··························································· 9
<그림 Ⅱ-4> 월마트 물류창고의 드론 활용 ···································· 11
<그림 Ⅱ-5> 자율주행 화물차 운행 ················································ 12
<그림 Ⅱ-6> 인간과 같이 일하는 코봇 ··········································· 15
<그림 Ⅱ-7> 동양피스톤 스마트팩토리 내부 ·································· 16
<그림 Ⅱ-8> 20년 내에 사라질 직업 계산 사이트 ························· 24
<그림 Ⅲ-1> 직업별 일자리 소멸 및 창출 ······································ 28
<그림 Ⅲ-2> 부산 인공지능 관련 산업 성장 추이 ························· 37
<그림 Ⅲ-3> 전국 인공지능 관련 산업 성장 추이 ························· 38
<그림 Ⅳ-1> 응답자 계열별 분포 ·················································· 56
<그림 Ⅳ-2> 4차 산업혁명이 미치는 영향에 대한 인식 ··············· 58
<그림 Ⅳ-3> 4차 산업혁명에 따른 취업준비 정도 ······················· 60
<그림 Ⅳ-4> 4차 산업혁명에 대한 준비 미흡 이유 ······················ 62
<그림 Ⅳ-5> 10년내 새로운 업종‧직종의 일자리 탐색 가능성 ····· 66
<그림 Ⅳ-6> 일자리 변화 대비 위해 필요한 것 ····························· 68
<그림 Ⅳ-7> 신직업에 대해 알고 있는 정도 ·································· 70
<그림 Ⅳ-8> 신직업에 대한 관심 정도 ··········································· 72
<그림 Ⅳ-9> 신직업 교육 및 직업훈련 참여 의사 ························· 73
<그림 Ⅳ-10> 대학 교육내용이 취‧창업에 도움 못주는 이유 ········· 76
<그림 Ⅳ-11> 정규교육과정 편성에 대한 의견 ······························ 77
<그림 Ⅳ-12> 직업훈련‧취업알선 제도 개선식에 관한 의견 ·········· 78