Ⅰ. 연구의 개요·············································1
1. 연구의 배경 및 목적··················································3
2. 연구의 범위·························································4
3. 연구의 추진과정······················································5
Ⅱ. 우리나라 지진발생 현황 및 특성····························7
1. 우리나라 지진발생 현황················································9
2. 동남권 지역 지진발생 특성············································13
Ⅲ. 국립지진방재연구원 설립 필요성···························17
1. 지진 관련 연구기관 사례··············································19
2. 국립지진방재연구원 설립 필요성·······································37
Ⅳ. 국립지진방재연구원 부산권 유치 타당성····················43
1. 지진 취약성과 피해대응을 위한 최적지··································45
2. 지진 관련 연구 인프라 국내 최고······································54
3. 국내 최고의 지진방재산업 입지········································62
4. 국내·외 접근성 최적·················································65
5. 종합여건···························································66
Ⅴ. 국립지진방재연구원 설립 구상·····························71
1. 설립 방향··························································73
2. 설립의 법적 근거····················································74
3. 기능 및 역할·······················································86
4. 조직 및 인력·······················································92
Ⅵ. 국립지진방재연구원 개발 구상····························97
1. 입지후보지 평가기준·················································99
2. 입지후보지 현황 및 여건분석·········································101
3. 평가 분석 및 최적 입지 선정·········································109
4. 국립지진방재연구원 도입시설 적정규모 산정·····························111
5. 개발 구상·························································119
Ⅶ. 파급효과 분석·········································151
1. 정량적 분석························································153
2. 정성적 분석·······················································157
<표 Ⅱ-1> 2016년 경주지진, 2017년 포항지진 이후 여진발생 추이·················15
<표 Ⅲ-1> 국립재난안전연구원의 기능········································19
<표 Ⅲ-2> 언론에서 보도한 국내 지진방재 관련 연구체계 문제점··················38
<표 Ⅳ-1> 세계 상위 10대 원전 밀집단지(총 용량 순) ···························52
<표 Ⅳ-2> 동남권 지역 지진 관련 인력 현황··································56
<표 Ⅳ-3> 동남권 지역 인력양성 실적(건축/토목공학과) ·························57
<표 Ⅳ-4> 동남권 지역 구조기술사 취득자 현황································58
<표 Ⅳ-5> 부산지역 지질 및 지진방재 관련 산업체 현황·························63
<표 Ⅳ-6> 부산지역 건축물 비구조요소 관련 산업체 현황························64
<표 Ⅳ-7> 부산지역 첨단내진설계 적용 주요 시설물 현황························64
<표 Ⅴ-1> 공공기관 지정에 관한 법률근거 법령································74
<표 Ⅴ-2>「재난 및 안전관리 기본법」의 연구개발사업 대상 기관 유형·············77
<표 Ⅴ-3>「과학기술분야 정부출연연구기관 등의 설립·운영 및 육성에 관한 법률」의 연구
기관 설립 근거 및 준비 규정 ······································78
<표 Ⅴ-4> 국립연구기관과 정부출연 연구원의 유형 및 설립 근거 ·················80
<표 Ⅴ-5>「재난 및 안전관리 기본법」의 예산지원 근거·························81
<표 Ⅴ-6> 국유재산법령의 사용료 면제규정···································82
<표 Ⅴ-7> 국유재산법령의 무상양여 관련 규정·································83
<표 Ⅴ-8>「과학기술분야 정부출연연구기관 등의 설립·운영 및 육성에 관한 법률」의 국유
재산의 무상대부 규정 ············································85
<표 Ⅴ-9> 일본 지진본부 기능과 역할········································87
<표 Ⅴ-10> 대만 지진본부 기능과 역할·······································88
<표 Ⅴ-11> 연구원 조직 내 지진재난대응 단계별 연구내용·······················93
<표 Ⅴ-12> 국립지진방재연구원 인력·········································96
<표 Ⅵ-1> 후보지 평가기준················································100
<표 Ⅵ-2> 평가항목별 기준················································109
<표 Ⅵ-3> 평가결과······················································110
<표 Ⅵ-4> 국립지진방재연구원 도입시설······································111
<표 Ⅵ-5> 국립지진방재연구원 유사 연구시설 1인당 소요면적····················114
<표 Ⅵ-6> 지진방재연구원 유사 연구시설 연구팀당 구성인원·····················114
<표 Ⅵ-7> 국립지진방재연구원·연구실증단지 시설규모··························115
<표 Ⅵ-8> 국내 전시·체험시설 시설현황 및 이용객 1인당 소요면적················115
<표 Ⅵ-9> 체험·전시시설 시설규모··········································116
<표 Ⅵ-10> 학습시설 시설규모·············································116
<표 Ⅵ-11> 국내 숙박시설(기숙사) 시설현황 및 이용객1인당 소요면적··············117
<표 Ⅵ-12> 숙박시설 시설규모··············································117
<표 Ⅵ-13> 지원시설 적정 시설규모·········································118
<표 Ⅵ-14> 건축물의 종별 구분·············································121
<표 Ⅵ-15> 부대비 적용 대가요율···········································122
<표 Ⅵ-16> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 토지이용계획·······················124
<표 Ⅵ-17> 부산대학교 산학단지 내 건폐율, 용적률, 높이·······················125
<표 Ⅵ-18> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 건축개요···························127
<표 Ⅵ-19> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 동별계획 구상······················128
<표 Ⅵ-20> 조달청 기준 건축물 유형별 적용기준······························130
<표 Ⅵ-21> 조달청 기준 유형별 건축단가 보정(2015~2016년) ···················130
<표 Ⅵ-22> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 건축공사비·························131
<표 Ⅵ-23> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 기반시설비·························131
<표 Ⅵ-24> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 설계비····························132
<표 Ⅵ-25> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 건설사업관리비·····················132
<표 Ⅵ-26> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 시설부대비·························133
<표 Ⅵ-27> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 총 부대비··························133
<표 Ⅵ-28> 사례지역 토지보상비율·········································134
<표 Ⅵ-29> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 토지보상비·························134
<표 Ⅵ-30> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 총 사업비·························135
<표 Ⅵ-31> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시 단계별 사업비······················136
<표 Ⅵ-32> 에코델타시티 활용 시 토지이용계획·······························138
<표 Ⅵ-33> 에코델타시티 내 대상지 건폐율, 용적률, 높이······················139
<표 Ⅵ-34> 에코델타시티 활용 시 건축개요···································141
<표 Ⅵ-35> 에코델타시티 활용 시 동별계획 구상······························141
<표 Ⅵ-36> 에코델타시티 활용 시 건축공사비·································143
<표 Ⅵ-37> 에코델타시티 활용 시 기반시설비·································144
<표 Ⅵ-38> 에코델타시티 활용 시 설계비····································144
<표 Ⅵ-39> 에코델타시티 활용 시 건설사업관리비·····························144
<표 Ⅵ-40> 에코델타시티 활용 시 시설부대비································145
<표 Ⅵ-41> 에코델타시티 활용 시 총 부대비··································145
<표 Ⅵ-42> 에코델타시티 활용 시 토지보상비·································146
<표 Ⅵ-43> 에코델타시티 활용 시 총 사업비··································147
<표 Ⅵ-44> 에코델타시티 활용 시 단계별 사업비······························148
<표 Ⅶ-1> 부산-경남지역 산업별 유발계수 ··································154
<표 Ⅶ-2> 기능별-사업비 적용부문 및 적용비율·······························155
<표 Ⅶ-3> 대안별 경제적 파급효과 ·········································156
<그림 Ⅰ-1> 연구의 추진과정················································5
<그림 Ⅱ-1> 진도 V 이상 지진의 진앙분포도···································9
<그림 Ⅱ-2> 우리나라 일원의 계기지진 관측자료(1978~2016년) 종합결과···········11
<그림 Ⅱ-3> 국내 지역별 지진발생횟수(1978년 1월~2018년1월) ···················12
<그림 Ⅱ-4> 국내 연도별 지진발생횟수(1978년 1월~2018년1월) ···················12
<그림 Ⅱ-5> 우리나라 동남권 일원의 주요 단층대 분포도························13
<그림 Ⅱ-6> 우리나라 동남권 일원의 제4기 단층대 분포도·······················14
<그림 Ⅱ-7> 국내 지진의 우리나라 동남권 지역 발생비율························15
<그림 Ⅱ-8> 경주지진과 포항지진 여진발생 추이 비교···························16
<그림 Ⅲ-1> 국립재난안전연구원 조직도······································20
<그림 Ⅲ-2> 기상청 미션・비전 체계·········································21
<그림 Ⅲ-3> 기상청 조직도·················································23
<그림 Ⅲ-4> 기상청 지진관측망·············································23
<그림 Ⅲ-5> 한국지질자원연구원 미션 및 기능·································25
<그림 Ⅲ-6> 한국지질자원연구원 조직도······································26
<그림 Ⅲ-7> 한국건설기술연구원 비전 및 경영목표·····························27
<그림 Ⅲ-8> 한국건설기술연구원 조직도······································28
<그림 Ⅲ-9> 미국 NEHRP의 연구체계········································29
<그림 Ⅲ-10> SCEC Phase 4 조직도········································32
<그림 Ⅲ-11> 일본 방재과학기술연구소 조직도·································34
<그림 Ⅳ-1> 역사지진으로 살펴본 부산권의 지진발생 사례 ······················46
<그림 Ⅳ-2> 2400년 주기 지진위험지도······································47
<그림 Ⅳ-3> 대한해협 일원의 광역 구조도····································48
<그림 Ⅳ-4> 경남 양산지진 발생시 액상화 현상 시뮬레이션······················49
<그림 Ⅳ-5> 지역별 지질관련학과 및 연구소 인원 비교··························59
< Ⅳ-6> 지역별 건축·토목관련학과 및 전문가 인원 비교·····················59
<그림 Ⅴ-1> 국립지진방재연구원의 기능과 역할································89
<그림 Ⅴ-2> 국립지진방재연구원 조직도(안) ···································92
<그림 Ⅵ-1> 국립지진방재연구원 입지선정 절차································99
<그림 Ⅵ-2> (구)부산외국어대학교 후보지 현황도······························102
<그림 Ⅵ-3> 부경대학교 용당캠퍼스 후보지 현황도····························104
<그림 Ⅵ-4> 부산에코델타시티 후보지 현황도·································106
<그림 Ⅵ-5> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 후보지 현황도····························108
<그림 Ⅵ-6> 지진 관련 체험·학습시설 도입 선진사례···························112
<그림 Ⅵ-7> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 토지이용 구상(안) ·····················123
<그림 Ⅵ-8> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 토지이용계획도(안) ····················125
<그림 Ⅵ-9> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스 활용 시설배치 구상도(안) ···················127
<그림 Ⅵ-10> 부산대학교 양산캠퍼스부지 활용 동선체계도(안) ···················129
<그림 Ⅵ-11> 에코델타시티 활용 토지이용 구상(안) ····························137
<그림 Ⅵ-12> 에코델타시티 활용 토지이용계획도(안) ···························138
<그림 Ⅵ-13> 에코델타시티 활용 시설배치 구상도(안) ··························140
<그림 Ⅵ-14> 에코델타시티 활용 토지이용 구상(안) ····························142
<그림 Ⅶ-1> 지진 진앙지에 설립한 미국 지질조사국 위치도·····················159
