Ⅰ. 연구 목적 및 방법
1. 연구 필요성 및 목적···································································· 3
1) 연구 필요성··············································································· 3
2) 연구 목적·················································································· 8
2. 연구 범위 및 방법········································································ 9
1) 연구 범위·················································································· 9
2) 연구 방법················································································ 10
Ⅱ. 국내외 공항 관련 경제효과 분석 연구 고찰
1. 국외 공항의 경제효과 분석 선행연구······································ 15
1) 미국 민간항공의 경제효과···················································· 15
2) 유럽 상업항공의 경제효과···················································· 30
2. 국내 공항의 경제효과 분석 선행연구······································ 36
1) 공항 관련 예비타당성조사 표준지침··································· 36
2) 공항 관련 예비타당성조사···················································· 40
3. 국내외 선행연구 고찰에 따른 시사점······································ 53
1) 국외 선행연구 고찰에 따른 시사점····································· 53
2) 국내 선행연구 고찰에 따른 시사점····································· 55
Ⅲ. 공항 건설의 지역경제 파급효과 분석 모델
1. 분석 체계 및 과정······································································ 63
1) 지역경제 파급효과 분석 개념 정립····································· 63
2) 지역경제 파급효과 분석 항목 선정····································· 65
3) 지역경제 파급효과 분석 모형 구축 체계··························· 66
2. 지역산업연관모형········································································ 68
1) 지역산업연관표의 의의·························································· 68
2) 지역산업연관표의 체제·························································· 69
3. 공항 특화형 IRIO 및 WIO 도출··············································· 87
Ⅳ. 김해신공항의 경제적 파급효과
1. 김해신공항의 개요······································································ 97
1) 시설·························································································· 99
2) 안전························································································ 100
3) 접근교통망 ·········································································· 101
2. 지역경제 파급효과 분석 대상················································· 101
1) 공항 건설·············································································· 101
2) 공항 운영·············································································· 105
3) 항공 운송·············································································· 109
4) 여객 여행·············································································· 117
3. 지역경제 파급효과 분석 결과················································· 129
1) 공항 건설의 지역경제 파급효과········································ 129
2) 공항 운영의 지역경제 파급효과········································ 143
3) 항공 운송의 지역경제 파급효과········································ 156
4) 여객 여행의 지역경제 파급효과········································ 169
Ⅴ. 김해신공항의 운송업 및 연관산업 육성
1. 투입·수요 구조·········································································· 185
1) 국외 항공운송업의 투입·수요 구조··································· 185
2) 국내 항공운송업의 투입·수요 구조··································· 197
2. 경제효과····················································································· 205
1) 인천 항공운송업의 경제효과 : 인천공항·························· 205
2) 부산 항공운송업의 경제효과 : 김해공항·························· 208
3. 연관산업 육성··········································································· 211
1) 지역경제효과 분석과 연관산업·········································· 211
2) 항공운송업의 투입·수요 구조 분석과 연관산업··············· 215
⋮
Abstract 218
⋮
참고문헌 221
⋮
부록 226
<표 Ⅱ-1> 2006년 미국 민간항공의 유형별 경제효과························· 16
<표 Ⅱ-2> 2006년 미국 민간항공 경제효과의 GDP내 비중··············· 17
<표 Ⅱ-3> 2007년 미국 민간공항의 유형별 경제효과························· 18
<표 Ⅱ-4> 2007년 미국 민간공항 경제효과의 GDP내 비중··············· 19
<표 Ⅱ-5> 2007년 미국 민간항공의 1인당 주별 경제효과 : 5순위·· 20
<표 Ⅱ-6> 2007년 미국 항공제조 부문의 주별 경제효과 : 5순위····· 21
<표 Ⅱ-7> 2007년 미국 상업항공 부문의 주별 경제효과 : 5순위····· 21
<표 Ⅱ-8> 2007년 미국 항공화물 부문의 주별 경제효과 : 5순위····· 22
<표 Ⅱ-9> 2007년 미국 일반항공 부문의 주별 경제효과 : 5순위····· 22
<표 Ⅱ-10> 2007년 미국 공항운영 부문의 주별 경제효과 : 5순위·· 23
<표 Ⅱ-11> 2009년 미국 민간항공의 유형별 경제효과 및 GDP내 비중·· 24
<표 Ⅱ-12> 2012년 미국 민간항공의 유형별 경제효과 및 GDP내 비중·· 26
<표 Ⅱ-13> 2012년 미국 민간항공의 주별 GDP 기여도 : 10순위 ·· 27
<표 Ⅱ-14> 2012년 미국 항공사·공항 부문의 주별 경제효과 : 5순위 ·· 27
<표 Ⅱ-15> 2012년미국일반항공·항공제조부문의주별경제효과: 5순위 ·· 28
<표 Ⅱ-16> 2012년 미국 항공화물·여행사 부문의 주별 경제효과 : 5순위 ·· 28
<표 Ⅱ-17> 2012년 미국 여객지출 부문의 주별 경제효과 : 5순위 ·· 29
<표 Ⅱ-18> 2014년 미국 민간공항의 경제효과 유형별 분석결과······ 30
<표 Ⅱ-19> 2007년 유럽 상업항공의 가치사슬 구조별 경제효과······ 33
<표 Ⅱ-20> 공항부문 표준지침의 지역경제 파급효과·························· 39
<표 Ⅱ-21> 청주국제공항 활주로 확장사업의 시나리오 설정 내역··· 45
<표 Ⅱ-22> 청주국제공항 활주로 확장사업의 지역별 파급효과(시나리오Ⅰ) ·· 46
<표 Ⅱ-23> 청주국제공항 활주로 확장사업의 지역별 파급효과(시나리오Ⅱ) ·· 47
<표 Ⅱ-24> 울릉도 공항 건설사업의 지역별 파급효과························ 48
<표 Ⅱ-25> 흑산도 공항 건설사업의 지역별 파급효과························ 50
<표 Ⅱ-26> 제주공항 인프라 확충사업의 지역별 파급효과················ 52
<표 Ⅱ-27> 공항의 지역경제효과 분석 : 국외 선행연구····················· 54
<표 Ⅱ-28> 공항의 지역경제효과 : 공항 사업 예비타당성조사 표준지침···· 55
<표 Ⅱ-29> 2005년 기준 한국은행의 IRIO와 전국 IO의 건설 부문 비교·· 58
<표 Ⅱ-30> 공항의 지역경제효과 : 국내 선행연구-예비타당성조사···· 58
<표 Ⅲ-1> 한국은행 지역산업연관표의 특징········································· 67
<표 Ⅲ-2> 부산 5대 전략산업, 산업통상자원부 12대 신산업············· 87
<표 Ⅲ-3> 공항 특화형 IRIO와 한국은행 IRIO의 부문 연계표·········· 88
<표 Ⅲ-4> 공항 특화형 IRIO와 WIO 부문 연계··································· 92
<표 Ⅳ-1> 공항 건설 사업비································································· 102
<표 Ⅳ-2> 접근교통망 : 도로 건설 사업비········································· 103
<표 Ⅳ-3> 접근교통망 : 철도 건설 사업비········································· 104
<표 Ⅳ-4> 공항 운영비··········································································· 106
<표 Ⅳ-5> 연도별 공항 운영비······························································ 107
<표 Ⅳ-6> 접근교통망 : 도로 운영비··················································· 108
<표 Ⅳ-7> 접근교통망 : 철도 연간 운영비········································· 108
<표 Ⅳ-8> 김해공항 국내선 장래 여객 수요······································· 109
<표 Ⅳ-9> 국적 항공사별 국내선 여객 현황(2016년) ························ 110
<표 Ⅳ-10> 국적 항공사별 국내선 여객 운송의 원단위 매출액······· 111
<표 Ⅳ-11> 국적 항공사의 국내선 여객 운송 매출액(2027년) ········· 111
<표 Ⅳ-12> 김해공항 국제선 장래 여객 수요····································· 112
<표 Ⅳ-13> 국적 항공사별 국제선 여객 현황(2016년) ······················ 112
< Ⅳ-14> 국적 항공사별 국제선 여객 운송의 원단위 매출액······· 113
<표 Ⅳ-15> 국적 항공사의 국제선 여객 운송 매출액(2027년) ········· 113
<표 Ⅳ-16> 김해공항 국내선 장래 화물 수요(순수화물) ··················· 114
<표 Ⅳ-17> 국적 항공사별 국내선 화물 현황(2016년) ······················ 114
<표 Ⅳ-18> 국적 항공사별 화물 운송의 원단위 매출액···················· 114
<표 Ⅳ-19> 국적 항공사의 국내선 화물 운송 매출액(2027년) ········· 115
<표 Ⅳ-20> 김해공항 국제선 장래 화물 수요····································· 115
<표 Ⅳ-21> 국적 항공사별 국제선 화물 현황(2016년) ······················ 116
<표 Ⅳ-22> 국적 항공사의 국제선 화물 운송 매출액(2027년) ········· 116
<표 Ⅳ-23> 김해공항 국내선 여객 추이·············································· 117
<표 Ⅳ-24> 국내 국민여행 목적별 비중·············································· 118
<표 Ⅳ-25> 국내 국민여행 목적별 1회 평균 지출액························· 119
<표 Ⅳ-26> 국내 관광여행의 항목별 1회 평균 지출액 구성비········ 119
<표 Ⅳ-27> 국내선 여객 여행자수(2027년) ········································· 120
<표 Ⅳ-28> 국내선 여객의 관광여행 지출액(2027년) ························ 120
<표 Ⅳ-29> 국내선 여객의 기타여행 지출액(2027년) ························ 121
<표 Ⅳ-30> 김해공항 국제선 여객 추이·············································· 122
<표 Ⅳ-31> 공항별 입·출국자 현황······················································· 123
<표 Ⅳ-32> 외래 여행객의 목적별 사례수와 비중····························· 123
<표 Ⅳ-33> 외래 개별 여행객의 목적별·항목별 1인 평균 지출액··· 124
<표 Ⅳ-34> 외래 단체 여행객의 목적별·항목별 1인 평균 지출액··· 125
<표 Ⅳ-35> 외래 Air-tel 여행객의 목적별·항목별 1인 평균 지출액·· 125
<표 Ⅳ-36> 외래 여행객 목적별·항목별 1인 평균 지출액················ 126
<표 Ⅳ-37> 외래 여행객 관광여행 항목별 1인 평균 지출 : 원화 환산·· 127
<표 Ⅳ-38> 외래 여행객 기타여행 항목별 1인 평균 지출 : 원화 환산·· 127
<표 Ⅳ-39> 여행 목적별 국제선 외국인 여객 여행자수(2027년) ····· 128
<표 Ⅳ-40> 국제선 외국인 여객의 여행 지출액(2027년) ·················· 129
<표 Ⅳ-41> 공항 건설의 지역경제 파급효과······································· 130
<표 Ⅳ-42> 공항 건설의 생산유발효과················································ 133
<표 Ⅳ-43> 공항 건설의 부가가치유발효과········································· 134
<표 Ⅳ-44> 공항 건설의 임금유발효과················································ 135
<표 Ⅳ-45> 공항 건설의 취업유발효과················································ 136
<표 Ⅳ-46> 접근교통망 건설의 생산유발효과····································· 139
<표 Ⅳ-47> 접근교통망 건설의 부가가치유발효과····························· 140
<표 Ⅳ-48> 접근교통망 건설의 임금유발효과····································· 141
<표 Ⅳ-49> 접근교통망 건설의 취업유발효과····································· 142
<표 Ⅳ-50> 공항 운영의 지역경제 파급효과······································· 143
<표 Ⅳ-51> 공항 운영의 생산유발효과················································ 146
<표 Ⅳ-52> 공항 운영의 부가가치유발효과········································· 147
<표 Ⅳ-53> 공항 운영의 임금유발효과················································ 148
<표 Ⅳ-54> 공항 운영의 취업유발효과················································ 149
<표 Ⅳ-55> 접근교통망 운영의 생산유발효과····································· 152
<표 Ⅳ-56> 접근교통망 운영의 부가가치유발효과····························· 153
<표 Ⅳ-57> 접근교통망 운영의 임금유발효과····································· 154
<표 Ⅳ-58> 접근교통망 운영의 취업유발효과····································· 155
<표 Ⅳ-59> 항공 운송의 지역경제 파급효과······································· 156
<표 Ⅳ-60> 여객 운송의 생산유발효과················································ 159
<표 Ⅳ-61> 여객 운송의 부가가치유발효과········································· 160
<표 Ⅳ-62> 여객 운송의 임금유발효과················································ 161
<표 Ⅳ-63> 여객 운송의 취업유발효과················································ 162
<표 Ⅳ-64> 화물 운송의 생산유발효과················································ 165
<표 Ⅳ-65> 화물 운송의 부가가치유발효과········································· 166
<표 Ⅳ-66> 화물 운송의 임금유발효과················································ 167
<표 Ⅳ-67> 화물 운송의 취업유발효과················································ 168
<표 Ⅳ-68> 여객 여행의 지역경제 유발효과······································· 169
<표 Ⅳ-69> 국내선 여객 여행의 생산유발효과··································· 172
<표 Ⅳ-70> 국내선 여객 여행의 부가가치유발효과··························· 173
<표 Ⅳ-71> 국내선 여객 여행의 임금유발효과··································· 174
<표 Ⅳ-72> 국내선 여객 여행의 취업유발효과··································· 175
<표 Ⅳ-73> 국제선 여객 여행의 생산유발효과··································· 178
<표 Ⅳ-74> 국제선 여객 여행의 부가가치유발효과··························· 179
<표 Ⅳ-75> 국제선 여객 여행의 임금유발효과··································· 180
<표 Ⅳ-76> 국제선 여객 여행의 취업유발효과··································· 181
<표 Ⅴ-1> 스카이 트랙스(Sky Trax) 선정 세계 10위권 공항········· 186
<표 Ⅴ-2> 스카이 트랙스 선정 세계 10위권 공항의 개요(2017년) ··· 187
<표 Ⅴ-3> 스위스 항공운송업의 중간 투입·수요 구조······················· 192
<표 Ⅴ-4> 독일 항공운송업의 중간 투입·수요 구조·························· 193
<표 Ⅴ-5> 영국 항공운송업의 중간 투입·수요 구조·························· 194
<표 Ⅴ-6> 일본 항공운송업의 중간 투입·수요 구조·························· 195
<표 Ⅴ-7> 한국 항공운송업의 중간 투입·수요 구조·························· 196
<표 Ⅴ-8> 인천 항공운송업의 지역간·산업간 중간투입 구조··········· 199
<표 Ⅴ-9> 인천 항공운송업의 지역간·산업간 중간수요 구조··········· 200
<표 Ⅴ-10> 부산 항공운송업의 지역간·산업간 중간투입 구조········· 203
<표 Ⅴ-11> 부산 항공운송업의 지역간·산업간 중간수요 구조········· 204
<표 Ⅴ-12> 인천 항공운송업의 지역간·산업간 생산유발효과··········· 206
< Ⅴ-13> 인천 항공운송업의 지역간·산업간 취업유발효과··········· 207
<표 Ⅴ-14> 부산 항공운송업의 지역간·산업간 생산유발효과··········· 209
<표 Ⅴ-15> 부산 항공운송업의 지역간·산업간 취업유발효과··········· 210
<그림 Ⅴ-1> 김해신공항 건설의 지역경제효과········································ 1
<그림 Ⅰ-1> 김해신공항 건설의 의의······················································· 3
<그림 Ⅰ-2> 공항 개발의 트렌드······························································ 4
<그림 Ⅰ-3> 인천의 글로벌 도시경쟁력 순위 및 종합지수 변화········· 6
<그림 Ⅰ-4> 부산의 글로벌 도시경쟁력(2012년 기준) ··························· 6
<그림 Ⅰ-5> 연구 내용 및 방법 체계도················································· 12
<그림 Ⅱ-1> 미국 민간항공 주별 경제효과의 GDP내 비중(%) ··········· 23
<그림 Ⅱ-2> 유럽 상업항공산업의 가치사슬 구조································ 32
<그림 Ⅱ-3> 2007년 유럽 상업항공의 유형별 경제적 총효과············ 34
<그림 Ⅱ-4> 2007년 EU 15와 EU 12 상업항공의 유형별 경제적 총효과·· 34
<그림 Ⅱ-5> 2007년 유럽 상업항공의 국가별 경제 총효과의 GVA내 비중·· 35
<그림 Ⅲ-1> 분석의 체계 및 과정·························································· 64
<그림 Ⅲ-2> 지역내 산업연관표의 기본구조 ······································· 71
<그림 Ⅲ-3> 지역간 산업연관표의 기본구조········································· 73
<그림 Ⅲ-4> 기초가격 기준 지역간 산업연관표··································· 73
<그림 Ⅲ-5> 지역간산업연관표와 지역간투입계수표 산출방법··········· 79
<그림 Ⅳ-1> 김해신공항 건설 사업의 개요··········································· 97
<그림 Ⅳ-2> 김해신공항 사업비 계획 및 신공항 계획도···················· 98
<그림 Ⅳ-3> 신공항 활주로 신설계획···················································· 99
<그림 Ⅳ-4> 신공항 바람각도 및 신규활주로····································· 100
<그림 Ⅴ-1> 스카이 트랙스 선정 세계 10위권 공항(2017년) ·········· 188
<그림 Ⅴ-2> 김해신공항건설의지역경제효과및부산항공운송업의투자효과·· 212
<그림 Ⅴ-3> 항공 제조업의 시도별 사업체·종사자 현황(2015년) ···· 215
<그림 Ⅴ-4> 부산 항공 제조업의 구조 분석 및 투자 효과·············· 216