제1장 통일시대 연구 개관 ······················································ 1
1. 연구 배경 및 목적 ································································· 1
2. 연구의 구성 ············································································ 4
제2장 한반도통일의 현실과 부산 발전 ································13
1. 부산의 통일시대 담론 형성 ················································ 13
2. 한국의 대북·통일정책과 현 상황 ······································· 17
3. 동아시아 정세와 남북관계 ·················································· 22
4. ‘통일시대’ 부산의 현실: 제약과 기회 ······························· 31
5. ‘통일시대’ 부산의 발전 구상 ············································· 34
6. 정책제언 ················································································ 39
제3장 남북교류협력의 동향과 부산의 전략 및 실천방안 연구
································································································· 43
1. 남북교류협력의 현황과 경과 ·············································· 43
2. 지자체 남북교류협력 사업의 의미 ····································· 46
3. 지자체 남북교류협력사업의 사례와 시사점 ······················ 49
4. 부산시의 남북교류협력 현황과 진단 ································· 56
5. 부산의 남북교류협력 활성화를 위한 정책방향과 과제 ··· 59
제4장 유라시아 이니셔티브의 부산 전략과 과제 ············· 71
1. 유라시아 이니셔티브에 대한 이해 ····································· 71
2. 유라시아 이니셔티브의 관련 정책동향 및 추진현황 ······ 78
3. 유라시아 이니셔티브의 국가 및 지역차원 추진전략 ······ 93
4. 유라시아 이니셔티브의 부산 발전전략 및 과제 ············ 102
제5장 중국 동북3성의 경제환경과 부산의 과제 ············· 119
1. 동북3성의 인프라 개발 전략 ·········································· 119
2. 동북3성의 경제산업 구조 ················································· 135
3. 동북3성의 대북한 경제협력 ············································ 146
4. 부산의 과제 ······································································ 152
제6장 환동해경제권 동향과 부산의 과제 ························ 157
1. 환동해경제권의 특성 ························································· 157
2. 환동해경제권의 동향 ························································· 161
3. 환동해경제권의 주요 공동 프로젝트 ······························· 184
4. 부산의 과제 ········································································ 189
제7장 통일시대 부산 이니셔티브: 전략과 과제 ············· 193
1. 통일시대 부산 이니셔티브 연구개요 ······························· 193
2. 통일 및 남북교류·협력사업과 지방자치단체 ················ 196
3. 통일 및 남북교류 추진 여건 진단 ·································· 198
4. 부산의 잠재력과 제약요인 ················································ 212
5. 통일시대 부산 이니셔티브 ············································ 213
6. 정책제언 ·············································································· 223
참고문헌 ················································································ 226
<표 Ⅱ-1> 국내외 주요 기관의 통일비용 추정 결과 ·············· 42
<표 Ⅲ-1> 5.24 조치 남북경협 기업 피해액 ··························· 44
<표 Ⅲ-2> 남북교류협력의 중앙-지방 관계 변화 ···················· 44
<표 Ⅲ-3> 지자체 남북교류협력사업의 추진계기 및 현황 ····· 51
<표 Ⅲ-4> 광역 지방자치단체 남북교류협력조례 제정 현황 · 54
<표 Ⅳ-1> 유라시아 이니셔티브 핵심 개념과 추진 사업 ······· 77
<표 Ⅳ-2> 세계 주요 국가의 유라시아 전략 ··························· 78
<표 Ⅳ-3> 일대일로 5대 중점협력사항 및 전략 ····················· 82
<표 Ⅳ-4> 복합 교통·물류, ICT, 에너지 네트워크 연계성 증진을
위한 추진 현황 ·························································· 88
<표 Ⅳ-5> 창조의 대륙 실현을 위한 추진 현황 ······················ 90
<표 Ⅳ-6> 평화의 대륙 실현을 위한 추진 현황 ······················ 91
<표 Ⅳ-7> 유라시아 각국 및 국제기구의 국제운송네트워크 추진
계획 ············································································· 92
<표 Ⅳ-8> 분야별 도시별 네트워크의 허브지수 순위 ·········· 107
<표 Ⅳ-9> 유라시아 관문 부산의 전략 개념도 ····················· 109
<표 Ⅴ-1> 창지투 선도구 중점 프로젝트 중 북한의 나선·청진 및
러시아와 관련된 도로에 대한 투자 ······················ 125
<표 Ⅴ-2> 동북 3성 수출입 현황(2014년) ····························· 143
<표 Ⅴ-3> 동북 3성 실제 이용 외자액(2005~2014) ············· 144
<표 Ⅴ-4> 동북 3성 외자기업 수 추이 ································ 144
<표 Ⅴ-5> 북한 무역액 추이(1955~1990) ······························ 146
<표 Ⅴ-6> 북중 수출입 무역 추이(2000~2015) ···················· 147
<표 Ⅴ-7> 북한의 대중국 주요 5대 수출입품 ······················· 150
<표 Ⅵ-1> 북한 환동해지역의 경제개발구 ····························· 163
<표 Ⅵ-2> 나선경제무역지대의 공업지구개발계획(2015년) · 164
<표 Ⅵ-3> 나선경제무역지대의 인프라 건설계획(2015년) ··· 165
<표 Ⅵ-4> 나선경제무역지대의 관광지개발계획(2015년) ····· 166
<표 Ⅵ-5> 창지투개발계획의 8대 중점사업 ··························· 170
<표 Ⅵ-6> 훈춘시 대외개방, 통관개선 정책 ·························· 171
<표 Ⅵ-7> ‘극동발전전략 2025’의 교통·물류 분야 주요 프로젝트
··················································································· 175
<표 Ⅵ-8> 두만강유역 초국경협력에 대한 동북아 관련국의 입장
과 전략 ····································································· 180
<표 Ⅵ-9> 환동해 국가 간 에너지 협력 사업 ······················· 188
<그림 Ⅲ-1> 지방자치단체의 남북교류협력 추진체계 ············ 55
<그림 Ⅳ-1> 유라시아 이니셔티브 주요 사업 추진현황 ········ 77
<그림 Ⅳ-2> 중국의 일대일로 노선도 ······································· 81
<그림 Ⅳ-3> 누를리 졸의 교통 및 운송 인프라 계획 ············ 86
<그림 Ⅳ-4> 해양과 대륙 세력의 영향권 개념도 ···················· 93
<그림 Ⅳ-5> 유라시아 극동의 관문경제권 ······························· 96
<그림 Ⅳ-6> 북한의 나진 선봉지구 개발 개념도 ···················· 98
<그림 Ⅳ-7> 유라시아 관문권 메갈로폴리스 ························· 101
<그림 Ⅳ-8> 글로벌 관문성 확보 ············································ 103
<그림 Ⅳ-9> 가덕 신공항 건설 개요 및 조감도 ··················· 104
<그림 Ⅳ-10> 동남해안 메갈로폴리스 개념도 ······················· 106
<그림 Ⅳ-11> 유라시아의 관문 실크로드(교통, 에너지 등 통합네
트워크) 구상도 ············································································ 111
<그림 Ⅳ-12> 1일 물류권 및 생활권 개념도 ························· 111
<그림 Ⅳ-13> 1관문 실크로드의 단계별 추진방안 개념도 ·· 112
<그림 Ⅳ-14> 동남해안 도시권의 경쟁력 ······························· 115
<그림 Ⅳ-15> 실크로드 해양경제특구 개념도 ······················· 116
<그림 Ⅳ-16> 부산의 Triangle 구상도 ·································· 118
<그림 Ⅴ-1> 중국 일대일로 계획 ············································ 120
<그림 Ⅴ-2> 동북경제권의 일대일로 구상 ····························· 123
<그림 Ⅴ-3> 나진항 전경 ························································· 127
<그림 Ⅴ-4> 창지투 선도개발지역 중심의 인프라건설 현황 133
<그림 Ⅴ-5> 동북3성의 GRDP(2006~2015) ··························· 136
<그림 Ⅴ-6> 동북3성의 도시주민 가처분 소득(2006~2015) 137
<그림 Ⅴ-7> 동북3성의 최저임금 ·········································· 138
<그림 Ⅴ-8> 동북3성의 실업률(2006~2015) ······················ 140
<그림 Ⅴ-9> 동북 3성의 산업구조 변화 추이 ······················· 141
<그림 Ⅴ-10> 2014년 동북 3성의 주요 산업 비교 ·············· 141
<그림 Ⅴ-11> 2014 중국 지역별 외자유치 현황 ·················· 145
<그림 Ⅵ-1> 환동해경제권 연안지역의 주요 도시 ················ 158
<그림 Ⅵ-2> 환동해 연안 도시간 항공노선 현황도 ·············· 160
<그림 Ⅵ-3> 북한의 환동해경제권 지역 ································· 162
<그림 Ⅵ-4> 랴오닝 연해경제벨트 및 창지투 선도구역 ······ 169
<그림 Ⅵ-5> 북중 고속철도 연결계획 ····································· 172
<그림 Ⅵ-6> 호쿠리쿠 신간선 예정노선도 ····························· 177
<그림 Ⅵ-7> 한·중·러 신규 국제복합운송 정기 물류루트 ·· 183