제1장 연구개요 ························································································1 1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 ·················································································· 1 1) 연구 배경 ······························································································· 1 2) 연구 목적 ······························································································· 2 2. 연구 방법 및 주요 내용 ············································································ 2 1) 연구 범위 및 방법 ················································································ 2 2) 주요 내용 ······························································································· 3 제2장 부산지역 청년층 지역이동 및 취업성과 분석 ······················4 1. 청년패널(Youth Panel)조사 개요 및 특징 ············································ 4 1) 조사설계 및 조사방법 ·········································································· 5 2) 표본추출 및 추가표본 구성 ································································· 6 3) 설문 내용 ······························································································· 8 4) 응답자 구성 ························································································· 10 2. 부산지역 청년층 지역이동 및 취업성과 ··············································· 16 1) 대학소재지별 대졸자의 지역이동 ····················································· 16 2) 취업 소요기간 ····················································································· 18 3) 월평균 임금 ························································································· 21 제3장 지역별 청년층 취업성과 분석 ···············································28 1. 취업성과 범위 ··························································································· 28 2. 취업 소요기간 ··························································································· 29 3. 월평균 임금수준 ······················································································· 34 4. 결혼 여부 ·································································································· 43 5. 독립 및 자가주택 소유 ············································································ 47 제4장 정책적 시사점 및 대응방안 ····················································51 1. 결론 및 정책적 시사점 ············································································ 51 1) 청년층 지역이동과 취업성과 ····························································· 51 2) 대학소재지별 청년층 취업성과 분석 ··············································· 54 3) 정책적 시사점 ··················································································· 57 2. 정책 방향 및 대응방안 ············································································ 60 1) 청년이 일하고 싶은 지역 일자리 확대 ··········································· 61 2) 일자리 확대와 인구유입 연계 정책 확대 ········································ 65 3) 청년층 맞춤형 취업지원 서비스 확대 ············································· 69 Abstract ··································································································74 참고문헌 ································································································76

<표 Ⅱ-1> 조사설계 ···························································································· 5 <표 Ⅱ-2> 청년패널 표본 유지율 ····································································· 7 <표 Ⅱ-3> 5차 조사(2011년)까지의 청년패널 설문내용 ······························· 8 <표 Ⅱ-4> 패널 특성별‧지역별 응답자 구성 추이(원표본) ························· 10 <표 Ⅱ-5> 패널 특성별‧지역별 응답자 구성 추이(추가표본) ······················ 12 <표 Ⅱ-6> 표본유지 추이(원표본) ·································································· 14 <표 Ⅱ-7> 표본유지 추이(추가표본) ······························································ 15 <표 Ⅱ-8> 대학소재지별 대졸자의 취업 지역이동 인원 ····························· 17 <표 Ⅱ-9> 지역이동 여부별 첫 직장 취업 소요기간 ··································· 20 <표 Ⅱ-10> 지역이동 여부별 첫 직장 월평균 임금 ···································· 23 <표 Ⅱ-11> 전체 표본의 지역이동 여부별 월평균 임금 ····························· 25 <표 Ⅱ-12> 전체 표본의 취업년도별 월평균 임금 ······································ 26 <표 Ⅲ-1> 첫 직장 취업 소요기간 Cox Proportional Hazard 분석 ······ 30 <표 Ⅲ-2> 첫 직장 월평균임금 회귀분석 ····················································· 35 <표 Ⅲ-3> 임금 상위 50% 청년층의 첫 직장 임금 회귀분석 ··················· 38 <표 Ⅲ-4> 청년층 남성의 첫 직장 임금 회귀분석 ······································ 40 <표 Ⅲ-5> 청년층 여성의 첫 직장 임금 회귀분석 ······································ 43 <표 Ⅲ-6> 결혼여부 프로빗 분석 ··································································· 44 <표 Ⅲ-7> 독립 및 자가주택 프로빗 분석 ···················································· 48

<그림 Ⅱ-1> 전체 표본의 지역이동 여부별‧지역별 임금 격차 ·················· 24 <그림 Ⅱ-2> 전체 표본의 지역이동 여부별 월평균 임금 추이 ·················· 25 <그림 Ⅱ-3> 전체 표본의 취업년도별 월평균임금 ······································ 27 <그림 Ⅲ-1> 대학소재지별 첫 직장 취업 소요기간 ···································· 32 <그림 Ⅲ-2> 취업 이동 시 첫 직장 취업 소요기간 ···································· 33 <그림 Ⅲ-3> 대학진학 이동 시 첫 직장 취업 소요기간 ····························· 33 <그림 Ⅲ-4> 분석표본별 대학소재지별 임금수준 분포 ······························· 39 <그림 Ⅲ-5> 성별 대학 소재지의 임금수준 분포 ········································ 43 <그림 Ⅲ-6> 대학 소재지별 결혼 소요기간별 결혼확률 ····························· 46 <그림 Ⅲ-7> 취업 지역이동 시 결혼 소요기간별 결혼확률 ······················· 46 <그림 Ⅲ-8> 대학진학 지역이동 시 결혼 소요기간별 결혼확률 ················ 47 <그림 Ⅲ-9> 취업 지역이동 시 주택마련 소요기간별 확률 ······················· 50 <그림 Ⅲ-10> 대학진학 지역이동 시 주택마련 소요기간별 확률 ·············· 50